Pre-tourney Rankings
Florida St.
Atlantic Coast
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.5#43
Expected Predictive Rating+10.8#47
Pace70.2#115
Improvement-4.4#326

Offense
Total Offense+5.0#53
Improvement+2.4#62

Defense
Total Defense+5.5#50
Improvement-6.8#349
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 32.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 32.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four28.2% n/a n/a
First Round18.8% n/a n/a
Second Round7.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.8% n/a n/a
Final Four0.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 308   Jacksonville W 91-67 97%     1 - 0 +11.6 -5.6 +13.5
  Nov 13, 2013 148   @ Central Florida W 80-68 73%     2 - 0 +16.2 -2.1 +16.8
  Nov 17, 2013 320   Tennessee Martin W 89-61 98%     3 - 0 +14.0 -2.8 +14.4
  Nov 21, 2013 22   Virginia Commonwealth W 85-67 37%     4 - 0 +32.0 +8.3 +20.5
  Nov 22, 2013 13   Michigan L 80-82 OT 32%     4 - 1 +13.3 +7.2 +6.1
  Nov 24, 2013 205   Northeastern W 62-60 88%     5 - 1 -0.4 -7.0 +6.7
  Nov 29, 2013 3   @ Florida L 66-67 16%     5 - 2 +20.1 +9.7 +10.3
  Dec 03, 2013 53   @ Minnesota L 61-71 43%     5 - 3 +2.2 -3.1 +4.8
  Dec 08, 2013 309   Jacksonville St. W 77-53 97%     6 - 3 +11.6 +4.2 +9.1
  Dec 17, 2013 179   Charlotte W 106-62 90%     7 - 3 +40.3 +21.6 +14.0
  Dec 21, 2013 52   Massachusetts W 60-55 54%     8 - 3 +14.4 -12.8 +26.7
  Dec 30, 2013 242   Charleston Southern W 67-59 94%     9 - 3 +0.8 -11.9 +12.7
  Jan 04, 2014 6   Virginia L 50-62 36%     9 - 4 0 - 1 +2.2 -9.6 +11.0
  Jan 09, 2014 54   @ Clemson W 56-41 44%     10 - 4 1 - 1 +27.1 +4.8 +25.7
  Jan 12, 2014 48   Maryland W 85-61 63%     11 - 4 2 - 1 +31.1 +16.7 +14.1
  Jan 15, 2014 73   @ Miami (FL) W 63-53 52%     12 - 4 3 - 1 +19.9 +17.4 +6.0
  Jan 18, 2014 6   @ Virginia L 66-78 19%     12 - 5 3 - 2 +7.8 +7.6 -0.1
  Jan 21, 2014 88   Notre Dame W 76-74 76%     13 - 5 4 - 2 +5.2 +12.1 -6.6
  Jan 25, 2014 8   @ Duke L 56-78 20%     13 - 6 4 - 3 -2.4 -7.4 +3.1
  Jan 29, 2014 66   @ North Carolina St. L 70-74 50%     13 - 7 4 - 4 +6.6 +1.9 +4.7
  Feb 01, 2014 54   Clemson L 49-53 65%     13 - 8 4 - 5 +2.6 -9.6 +11.5
  Feb 05, 2014 157   Virginia Tech W 70-50 88%     14 - 8 5 - 5 +17.8 +6.5 +13.3
  Feb 08, 2014 48   @ Maryland L 71-83 41%     14 - 9 5 - 6 +0.7 +7.1 -6.4
  Feb 10, 2014 73   Miami (FL) L 73-77 72%     14 - 10 5 - 7 +0.3 +10.7 -10.8
  Feb 15, 2014 104   @ Wake Forest W 67-60 64%     15 - 10 6 - 7 +13.8 +2.7 +11.6
  Feb 17, 2014 28   North Carolina L 75-81 50%     15 - 11 6 - 8 +4.4 +7.7 -3.2
  Feb 23, 2014 17   @ Pittsburgh W 71-66 26%     16 - 11 7 - 8 +22.2 +11.0 +11.5
  Mar 02, 2014 101   Georgia Tech W 81-71 80%     17 - 11 8 - 8 +11.6 +13.2 -1.3
  Mar 04, 2014 130   @ Boston College W 74-70 69%     18 - 11 9 - 8 +9.4 +10.8 -0.7
  Mar 09, 2014 21   Syracuse L 58-74 47%     18 - 12 9 - 9 -4.6 -2.9 -3.2
  Mar 13, 2014 48   Maryland W 67-65 52%     19 - 12 +11.9 +1.7 +10.3
  Mar 14, 2014 6   Virginia L 51-64 27%     19 - 13 +4.0 +0.4 +0.9
Projected Record 19.0 - 13.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 32.5% 32.5% 11.5 0.0 0.1 0.9 14.4 17.1 0.0 67.5 32.5%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 32.5% 0.0% 32.5% 11.5 0.0 0.1 0.9 14.4 17.1 0.0 67.5 32.5%